August 1, 2011

Pessimists Beware

For those perma-pessimists out there, don't count Big Ben and the Fed out:
  
The combination of the budget-cutting government’s plans and the grim economic news is likely to increase pressure on the Federal Reserve, which will hold a scheduled meeting on Aug. 9, to reconsider its declaration earlier this summer that it has done enough to aid the economic recovery.
After four years of extraordinary efforts to promote growth, including a continuing campaign to hold down interest rates for at least a few more months, officials at the central bank say they are reluctant to do more. But the Fed’s chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, said if the economy deteriorates and there is a growing risk of deflation or a broad decline in prices, policy makers could act. 
The Fed’s options include pledging to maintain low interest rates for a specified period of time or increasing its holding of government debt in a bid to further reduce rates.

Their quiver is not quite empty and if those planned cuts start wrecking the economy (which, by the way, is not a sure thing, no matter what Paul Krugman says), Ben & Co. will undoubtedly start using those so-called "unorthodox" monetary arrows.

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